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Demographics & Projections

Piling Ever Higher: The Continued Growth of Student Loans

Author: Riordan Frost | July 25, 2019

Regardless of the amount owed, this brief finds that young households repaying student loans had less wealth than young households without student loan debt in 2016, across all levels of educational attainment....

Tenure Projections of Homeowner and Renter Households for 2018-2038

Author: Jonathan Spader | March 25, 2019

Following the rise and fall in the U.S. homeownership rate over the past two decades, considerable uncertainty exists about its future trajectory. This paper presents our tenure projections for 2018-2038. ...

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Author: Daniel McCue | December 18, 2018

The Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS) last released its projections for household growth in 2016, calling for a robust increase of 13.6 million households over the decade from 2015 to 2025 and 11.0 million over 2025-2035.1 Since then the Census Bureau has released updated population projections, a key input into the Center’s outlook for household growth. These latest projections predict slower rates of population growth, largely due to reduced levels of net foreign immigration and slightly higher mortality rates for some segments of the populations....

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

Author: Hope Harvey | May 29, 2018

Doubling-up is a common experience—nearly half of kids experience at least one double-up during childhood—yet we know littel about the cumulative effects of these households on children....

Homeowner Households and the U.S. Homeownership Rate: Tenure Projections for 2015-2035

Homeowner Households and the U.S. Homeownership Rate: Tenure Projections for 2015-2035

Authors: Jonathan Spader, Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert | December 12, 2016

Following the rise and fall in the homeownership rate over the past two decades, considerable uncertainty exists about the future trajectory of the homeownership rate....

Updated Household Projections, 2015-2035: Methodology and Results

Authors: Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert | December 12, 2016

Using new Census Bureau projections and a revised methodology for predicting headship rates, this working paper updates the Harvard University Joint Center for Housing Studies' (JCHS) household projections for 2015 to 2035....