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Demographics & Projections

Racial Stratification and School Segregation in the Suburbs: The Case of Los Angeles County

Author: Jared Schachner | June 24, 2020

With residential mobility declining and educational choice increasing, white and Asian suburban families may emulate their core-city counterparts, leveraging school enrollment to buffer their children from disadvantaged minorities living nearby. However, the suburban educational opportunity structure is vastly different, with private, magnet, and charter schools – and transportation options to access them – in much shorter supply....

Are Americans Stuck in Place? Declining Residential Mobility in the US

Author: Riordan Frost | May 04, 2020

In the 1980s, nearly one in five Americans moved every year. About one in ten Americans moved between 2018 and 2019. Residential mobility rates have been falling for decades, representing a cross-generational shift, with declines particularly steep among young adults and for local moves. The reasons behind this long-term decline are unclear but have been linked to various factors, including demographic change, housing affordability, and labor. This brief discusses the state of residential mobility today, focusing on domestic mobility between and within states, and reviews historical trends in this behavior. It then examines the motivations behind domestic mobility and briefly explores the possible reasons for the long-term, secular decline....

Piling Ever Higher: The Continued Growth of Student Loans

Author: Riordan Frost | July 25, 2019

Regardless of the amount owed, this brief finds that young households repaying student loans had less wealth than young households without student loan debt in 2016, across all levels of educational attainment....

Tenure Projections of Homeowner and Renter Households for 2018-2038

Author: Jonathan Spader | March 25, 2019

Following the rise and fall in the U.S. homeownership rate over the past two decades, considerable uncertainty exists about its future trajectory. This paper presents our tenure projections for 2018-2038. ...

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Author: Daniel McCue | December 18, 2018

The Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS) last released its projections for household growth in 2016, calling for a robust increase of 13.6 million households over the decade from 2015 to 2025 and 11.0 million over 2025-2035.1 Since then the Census Bureau has released updated population projections, a key input into the Center’s outlook for household growth. These latest projections predict slower rates of population growth, largely due to reduced levels of net foreign immigration and slightly higher mortality rates for some segments of the populations....

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

Author: Hope Harvey | May 29, 2018

Doubling-up is a common experience—nearly half of kids experience at least one double-up during childhood—yet we know littel about the cumulative effects of these households on children....