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Demographics & Projections

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Updated Household Growth Projections: 2018-2028 and 2028-2038

Author: Daniel McCue | December 18, 2018

The Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS) last released its projections for household growth in 2016, calling for a robust increase of 13.6 million households over the decade from 2015 to 2025 and 11.0 million over 2025-2035.1 Since then the Census Bureau has released updated population projections, a key input into the Center’s outlook for household growth. These latest projections predict slower rates of population growth, largely due to reduced levels of net foreign immigration and slightly higher mortality rates for some segments of the populations....

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF DOUBLING-UP IN CHILDHOOD ON YOUNG ADULT OUTCOMES

Author: Hope Harvey | May 29, 2018

Doubling-up is a common experience—nearly half of kids experience at least one double-up during childhood—yet we know littel about the cumulative effects of these households on children....

Homeowner Households and the U.S. Homeownership Rate: Tenure Projections for 2015-2035

Homeowner Households and the U.S. Homeownership Rate: Tenure Projections for 2015-2035

Authors: Jonathan Spader, Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert | December 12, 2016

Following the rise and fall in the homeownership rate over the past two decades, considerable uncertainty exists about the future trajectory of the homeownership rate....

Updated Household Projections, 2015-2035: Methodology and Results

Authors: Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert | December 12, 2016

Using new Census Bureau projections and a revised methodology for predicting headship rates, this working paper updates the Harvard University Joint Center for Housing Studies' (JCHS) household projections for 2015 to 2035....

Student Loan Debt and the Housing Decisions of Young Households

Student Loan Debt and the Housing Decisions of Young Households

Author: Irene Lew | November 13, 2015

Between 2004 and 2014, aggregate outstanding student loan debt has more than tripled in real value. Even as households shed other types of non-housing-related debt, student loan debt was the only type of consumer debt to rise steadily during the Great Recession. ...

Assessing Households and Household Growth Estimates with Census Bureau Surveys

Assessing Households and Household Growth Estimates with Census Bureau Surveys

Authors: Daniel McCue, George Masnick, Chris Herbert | July 13, 2015

Once every ten years the decennial census provides a definitive count of people, households and housing units in the United States. During the intervening years, trends in these fundamental measures are provided by three major Census Bureau surveys: ...